Mon, 21 Nov 2005

12:08 PM - an anonymous post to an idiot

I posted this on slashdot today as anonymous. The guy wanted to get a DELL but with an amd chip after commenting on that information. Here's my reply:


Why don't you buy a sun workstation and drop a gamer card in instead? You'll save a few hundred dollars and end up with an opteron instead of an athlon. You can order a sun TODAY. Likewise, many other vendors ship AMD systems right now. There is nothing spectactular about dell. I call their tech support often enough at work to know this. I've never understood the urge to get dell to sell amd boxes.

I'd like to point out that AMD = APPLE. Why? Both companies are underdogs that have a following. Some users are casual and others are zealots. Two years ago both AMD and Apple users were put down for using their respective products. Intel supporters are quiet right now because Intel made a deal with the devil (apple) and AMD is gaining marketshare. I'm not saying apple is evil or anything, just pointing out the same camp that truely loves intel tends to support Microsoft as well. At my university, I call this group the electrical engineering department. Take a class in thier department and all you hear is how glorious Intel and Microsoft are. Just remember apple and amd bashers, you're going to be in the minority someday and I'm going to put you down for it.

Look at the state of the computer industry.
1. Microsoft supports AMD
2. Microsoft picks IBM PPC for xbox 360 making winppc systems
3. Apple picks intel
4. AMD sues intel
5. Intel announces a new chip line based on their mobile chip technologies to "save the company"
6. Dell breaks down and sells AMD boxes.

Now the big questions.
Will amd64 adoption be quick for home users?
Will apple blow it just like NeXT did with their intel switch?
Will Microsoft keep their monopoly going strong?
Can an open source operating system command victory?

My predictions:
Lamers won't buy 64 bit pcs when 32bit systems are cheap. Until intel makes the whole line 64bit, it won't happen. Those same lamers will be pissed when 64bit windows catches on and microsoft will have to deal with 32bit code for some time because they can't afford the losses to apple.

Apple will initially gain a lot of users until someone cracks OSX on normal intel/amd boxes. The result will be hobbiest using OSX and windows just like linux is a toy now for most people. Apple will never get OSX on top of windows and eventually the company will go bankrupt or switch to commercial products like ipods and tv sets. Steve jobs will retire or stop at apple in the next 5 years due to health concerns.

Micrsoft will lose the server market to linux, bsd or something else. They will maintain the windows monopoly. Office will keep them afloat during this time.

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